Riding profile
West Vancouver-Capilano
The question
West Vancouver-Capilano: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 26.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | GP | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWest Vancouver-Capilano | 52.9% | 25.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +10.5 | 39.5% −13.6 | 9.9% −0.4 | 3.2% +1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
West Vancouver-Capilano, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 53% vote share, against 26% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Lynne Block
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lynne Block Elected | Con | — | 46.7 | — |
| Sara Eftekhar | NDP | — | 27.1 | — |
| Karin Kirkpatrick | OTH | — | 20.6 | — |
| Archie Kaario | GP | — | 5.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44