Riding profile
North Vancouver-Lonsdale
The question
North Vancouver-Lonsdale: a safe seat for the NDP?
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 26.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Con | OneBC | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Vancouver-Lonsdale | 59.4% | 32.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 39.5% +19.9 | 42.4% −9.5 | 3.4% −0.7 | 3.2% −0.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
North Vancouver-Lonsdale, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 59% vote share, against 33% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Bowinn Ma
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowinn Ma Elected | NDP | — | 64.9 | — |
| David Splett | Con | — | 35.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44