Riding profile
Vancouver-Little Mountain
The question
Vancouver-Little Mountain: a safe seat for the NDP?
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Con | GP | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVancouver-Little Mountain | 56.5% | 28.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 39.5% +17.0 | 42.4% −14.1 | 9.9% −0.3 | 3.2% −0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vancouver-Little Mountain, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 57% vote share, against 28% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Christine Boyle
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Boyle Elected | NDP | — | 62.1 | — |
| John Coupar | Con | — | 30.6 | — |
| Wendy Hayko | GP | — | 7.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44