Riding profile

Vancouver-Langara

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

Vancouver-Langara: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

Con

Toss-up

Probability
62%
Mean margin (pts)
2.0
P(close race)
94%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 43.0%
  • NDP 42.3%
  • GP 7.8%
  • CentreBC 3.7%
  • OneBC 3.2%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Coquitlam-Burke MountainCon72 %2.3 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP CentreBC
HereVancouver-Langara 43.0%42.3%7.8%3.7%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +0.6 39.5% +2.7 9.9% −2.1 3.2% +0.5

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Vancouver-Langara, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 43% vote share, against 42% for the NDP, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Sunita Dhir

Sits with NDP

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
NDP
Margin
2.4 pts
Turnout
51.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
-0.3 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Sunita Dhir Elected NDP — 48.4 —
Bryan Breguet Con — 46.0 —
Scottford Price GP — 5.5 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44