Riding profile
Vancouver-Quilchena
The question
Vancouver-Quilchena: will OneBC lose this seat to Con?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | OneBC | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVancouver-Quilchena | 43.6% | 29.6% | 13.3% | 9.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +1.2 | 39.5% −9.9 | 3.4% +9.9 | 9.9% −0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vancouver-Quilchena, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 44% vote share, against 30% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dallas Brodie
Sits with OneBC
Elected as Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Brodie Elected | Con | — | 51.6 | — |
| Callista Ryan | NDP | — | 38.9 | — |
| Michael Barkusky | GP | — | 7.8 | — |
| Caroline Ying-Mei Wang | OTH | — | 1.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44