Simulators and tools

Seat simulators

• Canadian federal election

  Change the vote by province and watch the 343 House of Commons seats move.

  Open the federal simulator
  Liberal 231 · Conservative 79 · 172 for a majority

  Starting point: our October 15 forecast, out of 343 seats

• U.S. House of Representatives

  Shift the national and regional vote: how many districts does it take for the 218-seat majority to flip?

  Open the House simulator
  Democratic 235 · Republican 200 · 218 for a majority

  Starting point: our October 15 forecast, out of 435 seats

• Spain’s Congress of Deputies

  Set the vote shares and watch the D’Hondt rule allocate the 350 seats, province by province.

  Open the Spain simulator
  PP 132 · PSOE 108 · 176 for a majority

  Starting point: our October 15 forecast, out of 350 seats

• Ontario Legislative Assembly

  Change Ontario vote intentions and watch the 124 ridings change colour.

  Open the Ontario simulator
  Progressive Conservative 66 · Ontario NDP 28 · 63 for a majority

  Starting point: our October 15 forecast, out of 124 seats

• Quebec National Assembly

  Replay the October 5 election: start from our final forecast and see what it would have taken to change the outcome.

  Open the Quebec simulator
  Parti Quebecois 62 · Quebec Liberals 38 · 64 for a majority

  Starting point: our October 4 forecast, out of 127 seats

Other tools

• The Match

  Which Quebec riding is most like you? Answer a few questions on the economy, housing or the environment and compare your answers with how places actually voted.

  Take the Match

• Orbit, an experimental model

  A second model, built differently, compared with our forecast in Quebec, British Columbia and the United States. Useful to see where the two agree. It is an experiment, not our official forecast.

  See the Orbit comparison