How to read it
The map shows the winner of every riding in your scenario. Seats remain an approximation anchored to the published forecast; moving a slider does not rerun the full model.
What if the polls moved in the U.S.?
Move the national or regional vote and see all 435 districts respond.
Personal scenario
Move the numbers
Nudge a party and watch the seats follow. Everything runs on your device.
218 seats = majority
- Democratic235—
- Republican200—
Total100.0 %Other parties 0.2 %
Sliders at rest: you are seeing exactly the projection from October 15, 2026. Each slider's travel matches what the model considers plausible.
This is not the model. It is a shortcut anchored on today's projection: at rest it shows exactly our published numbers, and it drifts further the harder you push. For a real projection, see the main page.
Riding map in your scenario
DemocraticRepublican
Who holds what, in your scenario
Democratic
235—- FL-220.2
- TX-150.2
- FL-90.4
- NC-110.6
- IA-20.8
- NY-10.9
- ME-20.9
- CO-33.1
- FL-253.2
- NC-13.3
- MI-103.5
- MI-73.8
- NY-173.9
- VA-24.1
- NJ-74.3
- IA-34.8
- OH-95.0
- TX-345.0
- CO-85.3
- CA-225.6
- WI-35.6
- AZ-65.9
- PA-106.0
- AZ-16.2
- PA-86.2
- FL-146.6
- PA-77.0
- IA-18.0
- WA-39.0
- TX-289.4
- OH-19.6
- NH-110.3
- CA-4811.2
- NM-211.2
- NE-212.8
- MN-213.7
- NY-1913.7
- CA-4514.4
- VA-714.4
- NV-314.6
- OR-514.9
- CA-1316.0
- CT-516.3
- VA-1016.4
- OH-1316.6
- NJ-917.0
- NY-417.1
- IL-817.4
- MD-617.8
- NY-318.1
- OR-618.2
- MI-818.5
- CA-2118.6
- NH-218.9
- AZ-418.9
- PA-1719.0
- CA-619.2
- NV-119.3
- OR-419.5
- IL-619.6
- WA-819.6
- NV-419.8
- CA-2720.0
- IN-120.0
- IL-1720.2
- NJ-320.3
- CA-4720.4
- NY-1820.5
- CA-4920.8
- CA-321.0
- NM-321.0
- IL-1421.4
- MI-321.6
- NY-2221.6
- KS-322.4
- CA-3822.4
- IL-1122.4
- CA-122.6
- CA-3122.6
- NM-122.6
- NJ-522.9
- PA-623.2
- GA-223.4
- PA-1223.6
- CA-3523.8
- CA-3923.8
- MA-923.8
- FL-2324.0
- NJ-1124.4
- RI-224.4
- WA-624.4
- MA-124.5
- CA-4125.0
- CA-2525.6
- CA-2625.6
- CA-4225.6
- CO-725.6
- CA-726.4
- CA-5126.4
- DE-AL26.4
- MI-1126.5
- CT-226.8
- NY-2526.9
- CA-427.0
- IL-1327.0
- NJ-627.1
- CA-927.2
- MN-327.6
- WA-1028.0
- CA-5028.4
- PA-428.8
- CA-3329.0
- NJ-129.1
- MA-429.2
- MD-229.9
- MA-330.2
- MA-630.2
- TX-1630.2
- CT-330.4
- ME-130.5
- IL-1030.6
- CT-131.3
- CO-631.8
- AL-732.0
- NY-2032.2
- MD-332.8
- CA-233.2
- NJ-1233.9
- SC-634.0
- KY-334.4
- MS-234.4
- MO-534.4
- CA-4634.6
- CT-434.8
- TX-735.0
- NY-635.2
- NJ-835.8
- CA-2435.8
- FL-1036.0
- WA-136.7
- IL-436.8
- MA-236.9
- CA-3237.0
- AZ-737.2
- CA-2837.8
- MI-638.2
- TX-2038.2
- VT-AL38.3
- WA-238.4
- CA-1838.6
- UT-138.8
- NY-2639.1
- RI-139.4
- CA-5239.6
- PA-540.8
- IL-142.0
- NY-1442.6
- TX-3342.8
- CA-1043.0
- IL-243.4
- MD-543.6
- VA-1144.2
- HI-244.7
- IL-344.8
- MN-444.8
- VA-445.1
- NY-745.4
- NC-245.4
- CA-1445.8
- CA-3045.8
- TX-2945.8
- CA-1746.4
- FL-2046.4
- IL-946.6
- CA-847.4
- CA-3647.8
- CA-2948.0
- IL-548.0
- CA-1948.6
- FL-2448.8
- MI-1349.4
- MA-850.0
- VA-350.2
- WI-250.2
- CO-250.5
- IN-750.5
- NY-1650.7
- HI-150.8
- OH-351.4
- OR-151.5
- WA-952.2
- GA-1352.4
- PA-252.8
- OR-353.6
- CA-4454.2
- MI-1255.3
- AZ-355.4
- CA-1556.0
- NC-456.2
- TX-3056.4
- NY-557.0
- NC-1257.2
- MA-557.7
- VA-858.0
- CA-1659.0
- GA-659.0
- NY-959.2
- CA-4360.0
- MN-560.2
- NY-860.6
- GA-460.8
- NY-1362.4
- CA-3462.6
- NY-1562.9
- NJ-1063.3
- WI-463.4
- TX-1863.4
- NY-1064.3
- LA-266.6
- TX-3766.8
- MD-867.3
- CO-167.4
- MO-168.1
- OH-1169.2
- NY-1269.3
- MA-770.0
- CA-3771.0
- MD-774.0
- IL-775.6
- WA-777.4
- CA-1179.2
- GA-580.2
- CA-1285.8
- MD-486.0
- PA-399.4
Republican
200—- WI-10.3
- AZ-20.4
- KY-60.5
- MO-21.0
- TX-351.0
- FL-131.3
- MI-41.4
- VA-11.4
- MT-11.4
- AL-21.6
- FL-71.6
- CA-402.0
- OH-152.0
- FL-162.8
- PA-12.8
- CO-43.0
- TX-233.0
- AZ-83.2
- NC-33.2
- NV-23.4
- CO-53.8
- MN-13.8
- VA-54.1
- FL-114.2
- NY-24.2
- SC-14.5
- AR-24.8
- FL-44.8
- OH-74.8
- WI-85.0
- GA-15.2
- NY-215.7
- MN-86.2
- NE-16.4
- NC-146.4
- NC-66.8
- NC-76.8
- OH-86.8
- NJ-27.0
- NC-137.0
- FL-277.4
- IN-58.1
- FL-188.2
- NC-98.4
- FL-88.8
- NC-59.0
- TX-329.0
- KS-29.2
- NC-89.2
- TX-99.2
- TX-389.2
- AZ-59.4
- GA-119.4
- SC-29.4
- TX-109.4
- OH-109.6
- TN-99.6
- WA-49.6
- TN-59.7
- GA-1010.0
- OK-510.0
- TX-2210.2
- FL-210.4
- NC-1010.4
- TN-710.4
- TX-2410.6
- FL-1510.8
- GA-1210.8
- TX-2110.8
- WA-510.8
- FL-1211.0
- TX-211.2
- TX-511.2
- AK-AL11.5
- MI-111.5
- LA-611.6
- NY-1111.9
- GA-712.0
- SC-512.0
- TX-2712.0
- WI-712.0
- CA-2312.4
- IL-1612.4
- MD-112.5
- NY-2412.5
- SC-412.8
- FL-313.2
- FL-2113.2
- TX-313.2
- TX-2513.2
- WI-613.2
- FL-2613.6
- TX-1413.6
- NY-2313.8
- TX-1714.0
- OK-114.4
- TN-414.8
- MN-615.0
- TN-815.2
- TX-615.2
- CA-515.4
- FL-1715.4
- MO-315.4
- PA-1115.6
- UT-215.8
- SD-AL16.0
- TN-616.0
- FL-516.2
- TX-816.4
- TX-3616.6
- TX-2616.8
- TX-3116.8
- GA-1417.0
- PA-1617.0
- GA-317.6
- SC-717.8
- TX-418.0
- TX-1218.0
- IN-218.4
- AL-518.6
- FL-1918.6
- OH-518.6
- OH-1418.6
- WI-518.6
- MS-318.8
- FL-2819.0
- ID-219.1
- FL-619.2
- UT-419.6
- KS-419.8
- AZ-920.2
- IA-420.8
- OR-221.2
- CA-2021.4
- IN-921.9
- AR-322.2
- IN-622.4
- MT-222.6
- MI-522.8
- PA-1422.8
- VA-623.1
- LA-423.2
- OH-1223.2
- MI-223.6
- IN-323.8
- IN-424.0
- TX-1124.0
- OH-624.2
- AL-125.0
- TN-325.2
- NJ-425.4
- AL-625.6
- KY-425.6
- FL-126.2
- OK-427.1
- GA-827.2
- GA-927.4
- MI-927.4
- KS-127.8
- TN-227.8
- IN-828.6
- MS-129.0
- IL-1529.8
- LA-330.0
- UT-330.0
- WV-130.3
- MN-730.4
- PA-930.4
- WV-230.8
- OH-231.0
- ID-131.1
- WY-AL31.5
- LA-531.8
- PA-1532.2
- OH-432.4
- MO-633.1
- MO-434.0
- VA-934.4
- MO-734.6
- AR-435.0
- KY-235.4
- TX-1335.4
- AL-335.6
- SC-336.4
- MS-437.0
- ND-AL37.3
- IL-1237.4
- PA-1337.6
- KY-138.4
- TX-138.4
- AR-138.8
- LA-139.6
- TX-1940.0
- OK-242.6
- OK-343.0
- MO-843.6
- TN-149.0
- NE-349.6
- KY-553.4
- AL-453.8
The editorial rule
Your scenario remains separate from the Vote-Scope projection. It is never stored as a new forecast and never changes site data.