How to read it
The map shows the winner of every riding in your scenario. Seats remain an approximation anchored to the published forecast; moving a slider does not rerun the full model.
What if the polls moved in Quebec?
Move the vote. Watch the map and all 127 ridings respond.
Personal scenario
Move the numbers
Nudge a party and watch the seats follow. Everything runs on your device.
64 seats = majority
- Parti Quebecois62—
- Quebec Liberals38—
- Conservatives of Quebec18—
- Quebec Solidaire6—
- CAQ3—
Total100.0 %Other parties 1.4 %
Sliders at rest: you are seeing exactly the projection from October 4, 2026. Each slider's travel matches what the model considers plausible.
This is not the model. It is a shortcut anchored on today's projection: at rest it shows exactly our published numbers, and it drifts further the harder you push. For a real projection, see the main page.
Riding map in your scenario
Parti QuebecoisQuebec LiberalsConservatives of QuebecQuebec SolidaireCAQ
Who holds what, in your scenario
Parti Quebecois
62—- Maurice-Richard0.7
- Sherbrooke1.2
- Abitibi-Est1.6
- Nicolet-Bécancour1.7
- Papineau2.0
- Brome-Missisquoi2.6
- Drummond–Bois-Francs4.5
- Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré4.6
- Maskinongé4.9
- Laviolette–Saint-Maurice5.8
- Louis-Hébert6.1
- Rosemont6.5
- Trois-Rivières7.7
- Richmond7.9
- Blainville9.0
- Saint-François9.2
- Jean-Talon9.9
- Groulx10.7
- Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue11.0
- Argenteuil11.3
- Iberville11.8
- Taschereau12.7
- Les Plaines12.8
- Sanguinet12.9
- Repentigny13.2
- Montarville13.3
- Rousseau13.4
- Deux-Montagnes13.4
- Saint-Hyacinthe13.7
- Mirabel13.9
- L'Assomption14.5
- Pointe-aux-Trembles15.0
- Masson15.5
- Chambly17.0
- Beauharnois18.1
- Taillon18.9
- Dubuc20.1
- Prévost20.5
- Chicoutimi21.1
- Jonquière21.2
- Borduas21.4
- Saint-Jérôme21.4
- Berthier21.6
- Terrebonne21.7
- Saint-Jean22.0
- Richelieu22.0
- Roberval23.6
- Camille-Laurin24.8
- Bertrand24.9
- Duplessis24.9
- Labelle25.7
- Marie-Victorin26.2
- Verchères26.7
- René-Lévesque27.8
- Abitibi-Ouest28.0
- Lac-Saint-Jean32.0
- Bonaventure35.9
- Joliette38.4
- Rimouski40.0
- Gaspé45.8
- Îles-de-la-Madeleine54.1
- Matane-Matapédia-Mitis55.2
Quebec Liberals
38—- Vachon0.6
- La Prairie1.5
- Huntingdon1.9
- Ungava2.0
- Chapleau6.2
- Orford6.7
- Pierre-Laporte10.8
- Soulanges13.6
- Châteauguay15.0
- Gatineau15.6
- Sainte-Rose16.6
- Verdun17.4
- Vimont-Auteuil18.2
- Hull19.6
- Laval-des-Rapides21.7
- Anjou-Louis-Riel24.0
- Viau24.8
- Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne24.9
- D'Arcy-McGee26.0
- Chomedey26.5
- Fabre26.7
- Mille-Îles27.3
- Vaudreuil28.4
- Mont-Royal–Outremont28.8
- Acadie33.6
- La Pinière35.3
- Bourassa-Sauvé36.3
- Marguerite-Bourgeoys37.1
- Nelligan37.4
- Saint-Laurent37.5
- Robert-Baldwin39.7
- Marquette41.0
- Pontiac41.6
- Westmount–Saint-Louis41.7
- Notre-Dame-de-Grâce41.9
- LaFontaine43.4
- Jeanne-Mance–Viger46.1
- Jacques-Cartier49.9
Conservatives of Quebec
18—- Champlain0.7
- Mégantic0.9
- Daniel-Johnson1.3
- Charlesbourg4.3
- Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie5.6
- Vanier-Les Rivières5.7
- Lévis5.8
- Côte-du-Sud7.3
- Arthabaska-L’Érable9.9
- Montmorency14.9
- Chutes-de-la-Chaudière16.5
- Chauveau17.9
- Portneuf20.5
- La Peltrie22.0
- Lotbinière-Frontenac22.5
- Bellechasse31.1
- Beauce-Nord32.5
- Beauce-Sud32.8
Quebec Solidaire
6—- Jean-Lesage3.0
- Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques8.0
- Hochelaga-Maisonneuve10.0
- Laurier-Dorion13.1
- Mercier16.1
- Gouin19.8
CAQ
3—- Bellefeuille0.2
- Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques1.2
- Granby2.2
The editorial rule
Your scenario remains separate from the Vote-Scope projection. It is never stored as a new forecast and never changes site data.