Riding profile
Saanich North and the Islands
The question
Saanich North and the Islands: a safe seat for the Green Party?
Current forecast
GP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| GP | Con | NDP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaanich North and the Islands | 39.2% | 28.1% | 27.3% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 9.9% +29.3 | 42.4% −14.3 | 39.5% −12.2 | 3.4% −0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Saanich North and the Islands, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Green Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Green Party ahead at 39% vote share, against 28% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Rob Botterell
Sits with GP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Botterell Elected | GP | — | 36.1 | — |
| Sarah Riddell | NDP | — | 32.2 | — |
| David Busch | Con | — | 29.8 | — |
| Amy Haysom | OTH | — | 1.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44