Riding profile
Oak Bay-Gordon Head
The question
Oak Bay-Gordon Head: a safe seat for the NDP?
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 17.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Con | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereOak Bay-Gordon Head | 43.9% | 26.8% | 24.5% | 2.4% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 39.5% +4.4 | 42.4% −15.6 | 9.9% +14.6 | 3.4% −1.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Oak Bay-Gordon Head, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 44% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Diana Gibson
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Gibson Elected | NDP | — | 49.1 | — |
| Stephen Andrew | Con | — | 28.9 | — |
| Lisa Gunderson | GP | — | 22.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44