Riding profile
Esquimalt-Colwood
The question
Esquimalt-Colwood: a safe seat for the NDP?
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Con | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEsquimalt-Colwood | 46.5% | 27.3% | 21.9% | 2.4% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 39.5% +7.0 | 42.4% −15.1 | 9.9% +12.0 | 3.4% −1.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Esquimalt-Colwood, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 47% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Darlene Rotchford
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlene Rotchford Elected | NDP | — | 51.5 | — |
| John Wilson | Con | — | 29.2 | — |
| Camille Currie | GP | — | 19.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44