Riding profile

Langford-Highlands

Provincial riding — BC · Vancouver Island & Coast

The question

Langford-Highlands: a safe seat for the NDP?

Current forecast

NDP

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
11.4
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • NDP 46.7%
  • Con 35.3%
  • GP 13.2%
  • OneBC 2.8%
  • CentreBC 1.9%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

NDP Con GP OneBC
HereLangford-Highlands 46.7%35.3%13.2%2.8%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 39.5% +7.1 42.4% −7.1 9.9% +3.3 3.4% −0.6

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Langford-Highlands, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 47% vote share, against 35% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Ravi Parmar

Sits with NDP

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
NDP
Margin
14.5 pts
Turnout
59.1%
Margin shift vs current projection
-3.1 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Ravi Parmar Elected NDP — 51.9 —
Mike Harris Con — 37.4 —
Erin Cassels GP — 10.7 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44