Riding profile
Prince George-North Cariboo
The question
Prince George-North Cariboo: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 51.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | GP | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePrince George-North Cariboo | 65.6% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +23.2 | 39.5% −25.5 | 9.9% −1.8 | 3.2% +1.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Prince George-North Cariboo, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 40-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 66% vote share, against 14% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sheldon Clare
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheldon Clare Elected | Con | — | 56.8 | — |
| Coralee Oakes | OTH | — | 21.8 | — |
| Denice Bardua | NDP | — | 17.0 | — |
| Randy Thompson | GP | — | 4.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44