Riding profile

Prince George-Mackenzie

Provincial riding — BC · North

The question

Prince George-Mackenzie: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
35.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 57.6%
  • NDP 22.5%
  • GP 10.7%
  • CentreBC 4.0%
  • OneBC 4.0%
  • OTH 1.2%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP CentreBC
HerePrince George-Mackenzie 57.6%22.5%10.7%4.0%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +15.2 39.5% −17.0 9.9% +0.8 3.2% +0.8

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Prince George-Mackenzie, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 33-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 58% vote share, against 23% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Kiel Giddens

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
32.7 pts
Turnout
59.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.4 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Kiel Giddens Elected Con — 60.9 —
Shar McCrory NDP — 28.2 —
James Steidle GP — 8.5 —
Rachael Weber OTH — 2.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44