Riding profile
Peace River North
The question
Peace River North: will IND lose this seat to Con?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 51.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | OTH | OneBC | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePeace River North | 69.8% | 18.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +27.4 | 1.5% +16.9 | 3.4% +1.1 | 3.2% +1.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Peace River North, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 69-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 70% vote share, against 18% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jordan Kealy
Sits with IND
Elected as Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Kealy Elected | Con | — | 74.4 | — |
| Dan Davies | OTH | — | 20.1 | — |
| Ian McMahon | NDP | — | 5.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44