Riding profile
Bulkley Valley-Stikine
The question
Bulkley Valley-Stikine: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBulkley Valley-Stikine | 50.2% | 33.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +7.8 | 39.5% −6.0 | 9.9% −1.2 | 3.4% +0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Bulkley Valley-Stikine, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 50% vote share, against 34% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sharon Hartwell
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharon L. Hartwell Elected | Con | — | 52.3 | — |
| Nathan Cullen | NDP | — | 38.9 | — |
| Gamlakyeltxw Wilhelm Marsden | GP | — | 6.3 | — |
| Rod Taylor | OTH | — | 2.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44