Riding profile
Skeena
The question
Skeena: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.7
- P(close race)
- 3%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | GP | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSkeena | 48.1% | 38.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +5.7 | 39.5% −1.1 | 9.9% −4.3 | 3.2% +0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Skeena, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 48% vote share, against 38% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Claire Rattée
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Rattée Elected | Con | — | 51.2 | — |
| Sarah Zimmerman | NDP | — | 44.4 | — |
| Teri Young | GP | — | 3.3 | — |
| Irwin Jeffrey | OTH | — | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44