Riding profile
Powell River-Sunshine Coast
The question
Powell River-Sunshine Coast: a safe seat for the NDP?
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.9
- P(close race)
- 1%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Con | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePowell River-Sunshine Coast | 44.9% | 33.9% | 16.1% | 2.8% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 39.5% +5.3 | 42.4% −8.5 | 9.9% +6.2 | 3.4% −0.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Powell River-Sunshine Coast, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 45% vote share, against 34% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Randene Neill
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randene Neill Elected | NDP | — | 49.6 | — |
| Chris Moore | Con | — | 35.7 | — |
| Chris Hergesheimer | GP | — | 13.5 | — |
| Greg Reid | OTH | — | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44