Riding profile
Courtenay-Comox
The question
Courtenay-Comox: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Con
Toss-up
- Probability
- 91%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.6
- P(close race)
- 74%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCourtenay-Comox | 36.9% | 33.4% | 23.3% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% −5.5 | 39.5% −6.1 | 9.9% +13.4 | 3.4% −0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Courtenay-Comox, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 37% vote share, against 33% for the NDP, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Brennan Day
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Day Elected | Con | — | 38.8 | — |
| Ronna-Rae Leonard | NDP | — | 38.6 | — |
| Arzeena Hamir | GP | — | 20.7 | — |
| Devin Howell | OTH | — | — | — |
| John Hedican | OTH | — | — | — |
Around the region
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- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44