Riding profile

Maple Ridge East

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

Maple Ridge East: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

Con

Toss-up

Probability
92%
Mean margin (pts)
3.7
P(close race)
73%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 44.2%
  • NDP 40.8%
  • GP 8.7%
  • OneBC 3.3%
  • CentreBC 3.0%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP OneBC
HereMaple Ridge East 44.2%40.8%8.7%3.3%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +1.8 39.5% +1.2 9.9% −1.3 3.4% −0.2

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Maple Ridge East, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 44% vote share, against 41% for the NDP, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Lawrence Mok

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
0.4 pts
Turnout
58.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.3 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Lawrence Mok Elected Con — 47.0 —
Bob D'Eith NDP — 46.6 —
Kylee Williams GP — 6.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44