Riding profile
Langley-Walnut Grove
The question
Langley-Walnut Grove: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.9
- P(close race)
- 12%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLangley-Walnut Grove | 47.0% | 39.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +4.6 | 39.5% −0.4 | 9.9% −2.4 | 3.4% |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Langley-Walnut Grove, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 47% vote share, against 39% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Misty Van Popta
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Misty Van Popta Elected | Con | — | 49.6 | — |
| Megan Dykeman | NDP | — | 44.8 | — |
| Rylee Mac Lean | GP | — | 5.1 | — |
| Carlos Suarez Rubio | OTH | — | 0.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44