Riding profile

Langley-Willowbrook

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

Langley-Willowbrook: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
6.9
P(close race)
22%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 45.5%
  • NDP 38.6%
  • GP 9.7%
  • OneBC 3.4%
  • CentreBC 2.9%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP OneBC
HereLangley-Willowbrook 45.5%38.6%9.7%3.4%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +3.1 39.5% −0.9 9.9% −0.3 3.4% −0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Langley-Willowbrook, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 45% vote share, against 39% for the NDP, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Jody Toor

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
3.8 pts
Turnout
55.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.1 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jody Toor Elected Con — 48.2 —
Andrew Mercier NDP — 44.4 —
Petrina Arnason GP — 7.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44