Riding profile

Langley-Abbotsford

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

Langley-Abbotsford: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
24.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 52.9%
  • NDP 28.1%
  • GP 7.9%
  • OTH 3.9%
  • OneBC 3.7%
  • CentreBC 3.5%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP OTH
HereLangley-Abbotsford 52.9%28.1%7.9%3.9%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +10.5 39.5% −11.4 9.9% −2.0 1.5% +2.4

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Langley-Abbotsford, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 53% vote share, against 28% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Harman Bhangu

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
21.9 pts
Turnout
59.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.8 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Harman Bhangu Elected Con — 55.6 —
John Aldag NDP — 33.7 —
Melissa Snazell GP — 5.6 —
Alex Joehl OTH — — —
Karen Long OTH — — —
Shelly Jan [ a ] OTH — — —
Last model run
Cycle
bc_44