Riding profile

Kootenay Central

Provincial riding — BC · Interior

The question

Kootenay Central: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

NDP

Toss-up

Probability
97%
Mean margin (pts)
5.3
P(close race)
47%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • NDP 37.3%
  • Con 32.0%
  • GP 23.0%
  • OneBC 2.8%
  • CentreBC 2.5%
  • OTH 2.4%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

NDP Con GP OneBC
HereKootenay Central 37.3%32.0%23.0%2.8%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 39.5% −2.3 42.4% −10.4 9.9% +13.0 3.4% −0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Kootenay Central, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 37% vote share, against 32% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Brittny Anderson

Sits with NDP

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
NDP
Margin
8.0 pts
Turnout
64.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
-2.7 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Brittny Anderson Elected NDP — 39.6 —
Kelly Vandenberghe Con — 31.7 —
Nicole Charlwood GP — 18.7 —
Corinne Mori OTH — 10.0 —
Last model run
Cycle
bc_44