Riding profile

Kootenay-Rockies

Provincial riding — BC · Interior

The question

Kootenay-Rockies: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
32.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 54.5%
  • NDP 22.1%
  • GP 10.3%
  • CentreBC 6.0%
  • OneBC 4.2%
  • OTH 3.0%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP CentreBC
HereKootenay-Rockies 54.5%22.1%10.3%6.0%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +12.1 39.5% −17.4 9.9% +0.3 3.2% +2.8

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Kootenay-Rockies, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 54% vote share, against 22% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Pete Davis

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
21.0 pts
Turnout
60.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.4 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Pete Davis Elected Con — 42.7 —
Tom Shypitka OTH — 30.4 —
Sam Atwal NDP — 21.8 —
Kerri Wall GP — 5.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44