Riding profile
Vernon-Lumby
The question
Vernon-Lumby: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Con
Toss-up
- Probability
- 72%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.7
- P(close race)
- 87%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | OneBC | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVernon-Lumby | 44.6% | 43.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +2.3 | 39.5% +3.5 | 3.4% | 3.2% +0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vernon-Lumby, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 45% vote share, against 43% for the NDP, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Harwinder Sandhu
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harwinder Sandhu Elected | NDP | — | 42.7 | — |
| Dennis Giesbrecht | Con | — | 41.0 | — |
| Kevin Acton | OTH | — | — | — |
| Robert Johnson | OTH | — | — | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44