Riding profile
Salmon Arm-Shuswap
The question
Salmon Arm-Shuswap: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 26.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | GP | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSalmon Arm-Shuswap | 52.8% | 26.6% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +10.4 | 39.5% −12.9 | 9.9% +0.1 | 3.2% +1.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Salmon Arm-Shuswap, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 53% vote share, against 27% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
David Williams
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David L. Williams Elected | Con | — | 52.1 | — |
| Sylvia Lindgren | NDP | — | 30.4 | — |
| Jed Wiebe | GP | — | 7.1 | — |
| Greg McCune | OTH | — | — | — |
| Sherry Roy | OTH | — | — | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44