Riding profile
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream
The question
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream: will IND lose this seat to Con?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | OTH | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream | 45.8% | 26.5% | 15.0% | 6.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +3.4 | 39.5% −13.0 | 1.5% +13.5 | 9.9% −3.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 46% vote share, against 27% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Tara Armstrong
Sits with IND
Elected as Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tara Armstrong Elected | Con | — | 53.9 | — |
| Anna Warwick Sears | NDP | — | 35.3 | — |
| Kevin Kraft | OTH | — | 6.5 | — |
| Andrew Rose | GP | — | 4.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44