Riding profile

West Kelowna-Peachland

Provincial riding — BC · Interior

The question

West Kelowna-Peachland: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
31.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 58.1%
  • NDP 27.0%
  • CentreBC 5.1%
  • OneBC 4.2%
  • GP 2.9%
  • OTH 2.7%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP CentreBC OneBC
HereWest Kelowna-Peachland 58.1%27.0%5.1%4.2%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +15.7 39.5% −12.6 3.2% +1.9 3.4% +0.8

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

West Kelowna-Peachland, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 58% vote share, against 27% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Macklin McCall

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
22.9 pts
Turnout
58.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
+8.2 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Macklin McCall Elected Con — 50.9 —
Krystal Smith NDP — 27.9 —
Stephen Johnston OTH — 21.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44