Riding profile

Columbia River-Revelstoke

Provincial riding — BC · Interior

The question

Columbia River-Revelstoke: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
6.7
P(close race)
25%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 44.7%
  • NDP 38.1%
  • GP 10.0%
  • CentreBC 3.8%
  • OneBC 3.3%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP CentreBC
HereColumbia River-Revelstoke 44.7%38.1%10.0%3.8%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +2.3 39.5% −1.5 9.9% +0.1 3.2% +0.6

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Columbia River-Revelstoke, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 45% vote share, against 38% for the NDP, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Scott McInnis

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
3.7 pts
Turnout
58.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.0 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Scott McInnis Elected Con — 47.9 —
Andrea Dunlop NDP — 44.3 —
Calvin Beauchesne GP — 7.8 —
Last model run
Cycle
bc_44