Riding profile
Chilliwack North
The question
Chilliwack North: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChilliwack North | 52.2% | 32.2% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +9.8 | 39.5% −7.3 | 9.9% −2.0 | 3.4% +0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Chilliwack North, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 52% vote share, against 32% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Heather Maahs
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Maahs Elected | Con | — | 54.6 | — |
| Dan Coulter | NDP | — | 37.7 | — |
| Tim Cooper | GP | — | 5.5 | — |
| Dan Grice | OTH | — | 2.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44