Riding profile
Chilliwack-Cultus Lake
The question
Chilliwack-Cultus Lake: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Con
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Con | NDP | OneBC | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChilliwack-Cultus Lake | 51.7% | 39.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 42.4% +9.3 | 39.5% | 3.4% +0.3 | 3.2% −0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Chilliwack-Cultus Lake, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 52% vote share, against 40% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Áʼa:líya Warbus
Sits with Con
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Á'a:líya Warbus Elected | Con | — | 54.6 | — |
| Kelli Paddon | NDP | — | 45.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44