Timmins
Provincial riding · Ontario · Northern Ontario
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 43.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | NDP | OLP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timmins | 66.0% | 23.0% | 9.6% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+24.4 | 20.3%+2.7 | 32.5%−22.9 | 3.0%−1.8 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. George Pirie · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 48.5 points, with 41.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 43.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| George Pirie Elected | PC | 9,371 | 68.4 |
| Corey Lepage | NDP | 2,732 | 19.9 |
| Dominic Casto | OLP | 1,127 | 8.2 |
| Marie-Josée Yelle | GP | 248 | 1.8 |
| David Farrell | OTH | 220 | 1.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Timiskaming—Cochrane NDP, safe seat
- Sudbury NDP, safe seat
- Nickel Belt NDP, safe seat
- Nipissing PC, safe seat
- Parry Sound—Muskoka PC, toss-up
- Algoma—Manitoulin PC, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated