Milton
Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a 63% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.7 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 97%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton | 45.7% | 44.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+4.0 | 32.5%+12.4 | 20.3%−13.8 | 3.0%−0.8 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. Zee Hamid · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 6.0 points, with 42.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 1.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zee Hamid Elected | PC | 20,091 | 47.4 |
| Kristina Tesser Derksen | OLP | 17,551 | 41.4 |
| Katherine-Anne Cirlincione | NDP | 2,403 | 5.7 |
| Susan Doyle | GP | 1,130 | 2.7 |
| John Spina | OTH | 866 | 2.0 |
| Mohsin Rizvi | OTH | 316 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Oakville North—Burlington PC, toss-up
- Burlington OLP, toss-up
- Mississauga—Streetsville OLP, toss-up
- Brampton West PC, safe seat
- Oakville OLP, toss-up
- Brampton South PC, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated