Mississauga—Streetsville
Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Ontario Liberals a 65% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.7 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 99%.
Compared with the average
| OLP | PC | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississauga—Streetsville | 46.5% | 45.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 32.5%+14.1 | 41.6%+4.2 | 20.3%−14.5 | 3.0%−1.8 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. Nina Tangri · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 4.5 points, with 44.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Ontario Liberals ahead by 1.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Tangri Elected | PC | 19,118 | 47.7 |
| Jill Promoli | OLP | 17,297 | 43.2 |
| Shoaib Khawar | NDP | 2,012 | 5.0 |
| Chris Hill | GP | 1,012 | 2.5 |
| Darryl Brothers | OTH | 630 | 1.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mississauga—Erin Mills OLP, toss-up
- Brampton South PC, safe seat
- Mississauga Centre PC, toss-up
- Mississauga—Malton PC, competitive
- Brampton Centre PC, safe seat
- Brampton West PC, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated