Mississauga—Malton
Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 16%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississauga—Malton | 49.0% | 42.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+7.3 | 32.5%+9.6 | 20.3%−12.8 | 3.0%−1.7 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Deepak Anand · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 12.2 points, with 36.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 7.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deepak Anand Elected | PC | 15,117 | 50.9 |
| Jawad Haroon | OLP | 11,499 | 38.7 |
| Gerard Mcdonald | NDP | 2,000 | 6.7 |
| Arish Esmail | GP | 561 | 1.9 |
| Van Nguyen | OTH | 498 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brampton Centre PC, safe seat
- Mississauga Centre PC, toss-up
- Mississauga—Streetsville OLP, toss-up
- Brampton South PC, safe seat
- Mississauga East—Cooksville OLP, toss-up
- Mississauga—Erin Mills OLP, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated