Mississauga East—Cooksville
Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Ontario Liberals a 83% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.3 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 96%.
Compared with the average
| OLP | PC | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississauga East—Cooksville | 46.5% | 44.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 32.5%+14.0 | 41.6%+3.0 | 20.3%−14.3 | 3.0%−0.4 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Silvia Gualtieri · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 3.4 points, with 41.5% turnout.
Our current projection: the Ontario Liberals ahead by 2.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silvia Gualtieri Elected | PC | 16,764 | 46.4 |
| Bonnie Crombie | OLP | 15,554 | 43.1 |
| Alex Venuto | NDP | 1,879 | 5.2 |
| David Zeni | GP | 744 | 2.1 |
| Kevin Peck | OTH | 429 | 1.2 |
| Syed Hussain | IND | 223 | 0.6 |
| Mark De Pelham | IND | 205 | 0.6 |
| Vittoria Trichilo | OTH | 192 | 0.5 |
| Oleksandra Iakovlieva | OTH | 118 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Etobicoke—Lakeshore OLP, safe seat
- Etobicoke Centre OLP, toss-up
- Mississauga—Lakeshore OLP, toss-up
- Mississauga Centre PC, toss-up
- Mississauga—Malton PC, competitive
- Etobicoke North PC, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated