Brampton Centre
Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton Centre | 50.0% | 37.3% | 9.6% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+8.4 | 32.5%+4.9 | 20.3%−10.7 | 2.6%−0.8 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. Charmaine A. Williams · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 17.9 points, with 36.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 12.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charmaine Williams Elected | PC | 12,776 | 51.8 |
| Martin Medeiros | OLP | 8,357 | 33.9 |
| Sukhamrit Singh | NDP | 2,161 | 8.8 |
| Pauline Thornham | GP | 910 | 3.7 |
| Kamal Preet Kaur | OTH | 434 | 1.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brampton South PC, safe seat
- Mississauga—Malton PC, competitive
- Brampton North PC, safe seat
- Brampton East PC, safe seat
- Brampton West PC, safe seat
- Mississauga—Streetsville OLP, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated