Brampton East
Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton East | 50.0% | 33.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+8.4 | 32.5%+0.9 | 20.3%−8.6 | 3.0%+1.2 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hardeep Singh Grewal · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 21.9 points, with 34.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 16.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hardeep Grewal Elected | PC | 14,759 | 51.8 |
| Vicky Dhillon | OLP | 8,511 | 29.9 |
| Martin Singh | NDP | 3,104 | 10.9 |
| Azad Goyat | IND | 1,376 | 4.8 |
| Nancy Porteous | GP | 757 | 2.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brampton Centre PC, safe seat
- Vaughan—Woodbridge PC, safe seat
- Brampton North PC, safe seat
- Mississauga—Malton PC, competitive
- Etobicoke North PC, safe seat
- Brampton South PC, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated