Brampton North
Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton North | 55.7% | 33.7% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+14.0 | 32.5%+1.2 | 20.3%−11.4 | 3.0%−1.8 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. Graham McGregor · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 27.2 points, with 38.5% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 22.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Mcgregor Elected | PC | 17,597 | 57.5 |
| Ranjit Singh Bagga | OLP | 9,270 | 30.3 |
| Ruby Zaman | NDP | 2,479 | 8.1 |
| Sameera Falcon Khan | GP | 746 | 2.4 |
| Melanie Porte | OTH | 499 | 1.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brampton West PC, safe seat
- Brampton Centre PC, safe seat
- Brampton South PC, safe seat
- Brampton East PC, safe seat
- Mississauga—Malton PC, competitive
- Mississauga—Streetsville OLP, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated