Brampton South
Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton South | 50.8% | 36.0% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+9.2 | 32.5%+3.6 | 20.3%−11.2 | 3.0%−0.1 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 20.0 points, with 36.1% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 14.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria Elected | PC | 15,379 | 52.5 |
| Bhavik Parikh | OLP | 9,530 | 32.6 |
| Rajni Sharma | NDP | 2,413 | 8.2 |
| Johnny Nolan | OTH | 1,042 | 3.6 |
| Rajinder Boyal | GP | 911 | 3.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mississauga—Streetsville OLP, toss-up
- Brampton Centre PC, safe seat
- Brampton West PC, safe seat
- Mississauga—Malton PC, competitive
- Brampton North PC, safe seat
- Mississauga—Erin Mills OLP, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated