Scarborough North
Provincial riding · Ontario · City of Toronto
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarborough North | 49.4% | 38.8% | 11.3% | 0.3% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+7.8 | 32.5%+6.3 | 20.3%−9.0 | 3.0%−2.7 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. Raymond Sung Joon Cho · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 18.2 points, with 37.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 10.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Cho Elected | PC | 13,031 | 53.0 |
| Anita Anandarajan | OLP | 8,548 | 34.8 |
| Thadsha Navaneethan | NDP | 2,554 | 10.4 |
| Zdravko Gunjevic | GP | 465 | 1.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Scarborough—Guildwood OLP, safe seat
- Scarborough—Agincourt OLP, toss-up
- Scarborough Centre OLP, competitive
- Scarborough—Rouge Park PC, toss-up
- Markham—Thornhill PC, safe seat
- Scarborough Southwest NDP, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated