Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
Provincial riding · Ontario · Eastern Ontario
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | 50.8% | 39.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+9.2 | 32.5%+6.8 | 20.3%−14.6 | 3.0%+0.7 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Stéphane Sarrazin · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 14.3 points, with 47.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 11.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane Sarrazin Elected | PC | 24,618 | 51.4 |
| Trevor Stewart | OLP | 17,752 | 37.0 |
| Ryder Finlay | NDP | 2,384 | 5.0 |
| Thaila Riden | GP | 1,089 | 2.3 |
| Felix Labrosse | OTH | 971 | 2.0 |
| Brandon Wallingford | OTH | 800 | 1.7 |
| Jason St-Louis | IND | 321 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry PC, safe seat
- Orléans OLP, safe seat
- Ottawa—Vanier OLP, safe seat
- Ottawa South OLP, safe seat
- Ottawa Centre NDP, safe seat
- Carleton PC, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated