Cambridge
Provincial riding · Ontario · Southwestern Ontario
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 6%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge | 43.2% | 35.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+1.6 | 32.5%+3.2 | 20.3%−7.2 | 3.0%+1.1 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Brian Riddell · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 9.3 points, with 45.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 7.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Riddell Elected | PC | 19,210 | 43.7 |
| Rob Deutschmann | OLP | 15,131 | 34.4 |
| Marjorie Knight | NDP | 5,074 | 11.5 |
| Carla Johnson | GP | 2,519 | 5.7 |
| Belinda Karahalios | OTH | 2,067 | 4.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Kitchener South—Hespeler PC, safe seat
- Kitchener Centre GP, safe seat
- Waterloo NDP, safe seat
- Guelph GP, safe seat
- Kitchener—Conestoga PC, safe seat
- Brantford—Brant PC, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated