Brantford—Brant
Provincial riding · Ontario · Southwestern Ontario
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | NDP | OLP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brantford—Brant | 46.8% | 25.1% | 21.6% | 3.3% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.6%+5.2 | 20.3%+4.7 | 32.5%−10.9 | 3.0%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Will Bouma · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 23.8 points, with 43.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 21.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bouma Elected | PC | 24,169 | 47.2 |
| Harvey Bischof | NDP | 12,005 | 23.5 |
| Ron Fox | OLP | 10,364 | 20.3 |
| Karleigh Csordas | GP | 2,597 | 5.1 |
| Joshua Carron | OTH | 1,138 | 2.2 |
| Rob Ferguson | OTH | 500 | 1.0 |
| Mike Clancy | OTH | 316 | 0.6 |
| James Carruthers | OTH | 83 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haldimand—Norfolk OTH, safe seat
- Cambridge PC, safe seat
- Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas NDP, safe seat
- Flamborough—Glanbrook PC, safe seat
- Kitchener South—Hespeler PC, safe seat
- Hamilton Mountain OLP, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated