Riding profile
Surrey-Fleetwood
The question
Surrey-Fleetwood: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
NDP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 58%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.0
- P(close race)
- 95%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Con | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSurrey-Fleetwood | 42.9% | 42.4% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 39.5% +3.3 | 42.4% | 9.9% −1.1 | 3.4% −0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Surrey-Fleetwood, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 43% vote share, against 42% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jagrup Brar
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagrup Brar Elected | NDP | — | 48.6 | — |
| Avtar Gill | Con | — | 44.9 | — |
| Tim Binnema | GP | — | 6.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44