Riding profile

Richmond-Queensborough

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

Richmond-Queensborough: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.8
P(close race)
3%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 48.3%
  • NDP 38.5%
  • OTH 3.8%
  • OneBC 3.5%
  • CentreBC 3.4%
  • GP 2.4%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP OTH OneBC
HereRichmond-Queensborough 48.3%38.5%3.8%3.5%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +5.9 39.5% −1.0 1.5% +2.3 3.4% +0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Richmond-Queensborough, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 48% vote share, against 39% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Steve Kooner

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
6.8 pts
Turnout
53.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.0 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Steve Kooner Elected Con — 50.9 —
Aman Singh NDP — 44.1 —
Errol E. Povah Cindy Wu OTH — 5.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
bc_44