Riding profile

Richmond-Bridgeport

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

Richmond-Bridgeport: a safe seat for the Conservatives?

Current forecast

Con

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
26.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 55.0%
  • NDP 29.0%
  • GP 5.6%
  • CentreBC 4.0%
  • OneBC 3.9%
  • OTH 2.6%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Con NDP GP CentreBC
HereRichmond-Bridgeport 55.0%29.0%5.6%4.0%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 42.4% +12.7 39.5% −10.6 9.9% −4.4 3.2% +0.8

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Richmond-Bridgeport, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 55% vote share, against 29% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Teresa Wat

Sits with Con

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Con
Margin
23.4 pts
Turnout
48.6%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.7 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Teresa Wat Elected Con — 58.2 —
Linda Li NDP — 34.8 —
Glynnis Hoi Sum Chan Charlie Smith OTH — 3.8 —
Tamás Revóczi GP — 3.2 —
Last model run
Cycle
bc_44