Riding profile
North Vancouver-Seymour
The question
North Vancouver-Seymour: a safe seat for the NDP?
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Con | GP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Vancouver-Seymour | 47.6% | 33.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 39.5% +8.1 | 42.4% −8.7 | 9.9% −1.9 | 1.5% +3.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
North Vancouver-Seymour, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 48% vote share, against 34% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Susie Chant
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · BC 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susie Chant Elected | NDP | — | 52.8 | — |
| Sam Chandola | Con | — | 35.8 | — |
| Mitchell Baker | OTH | — | 5.8 | — |
| Subhadarshi Tripathy | GP | — | 5.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
bc_44