Riding profile

New Westminster-Coquitlam

Provincial riding — BC · Metro Vancouver

The question

New Westminster-Coquitlam: a safe seat for the NDP?

Current forecast

NDP

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
26.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • NDP 54.2%
  • Con 27.9%
  • GP 13.6%
  • OneBC 2.5%
  • CentreBC 1.9%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Surrey-FleetwoodNDP58 %2.0 pt margin
  2. Cowichan ValleyCon54 %2.0 pt margin
  3. Vancouver-LangaraCon62 %2.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

NDP Con GP OneBC
HereNew Westminster-Coquitlam 54.2%27.9%13.6%2.5%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 39.5% +14.6 42.4% −14.5 9.9% +3.6 3.4% −1.0

Provincial averages computed across the 93 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

New Westminster-Coquitlam, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 54% vote share, against 28% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Jennifer Whiteside

Sits with NDP

Parliament
43th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
NDP
Margin
29.3 pts
Turnout
54.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
-3.0 pts

Detailed result · BC 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jennifer Whiteside Elected NDP — 59.1 —
Ndellie Massey Con — 29.8 —
Maureen Curran GP — 11.0 —
Last model run
Cycle
bc_44